Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

122.12 – 92.02

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

145 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 24.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 358.6 ±40.8

9994Off-Season Demo Team 9994

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 24.14Rank 13Record 3-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7915Ripon Robotics

Season APEX 228.5Event APEX 68.09Rank 12Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8744Leviathans

Season APEX 130.1Event APEX 29.89Rank 4Record 5-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 290.7 ±11.7

2062CORE 2062

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 33.56Rank 10Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2830Riverside RoboTigers

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 24.92Rank 9Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1220Rockhoppers - Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 33.54Rank 11Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9994, 7915, 8744

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.1 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9994, 7915, 8744

Auto

18.7 17%

Teleop

66.9 60%

Endgame

26.1 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2062, 2830, 1220

/ 100 compat

Projected

92 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2062, 2830, 1220

Auto

21.7 25%

Teleop

39.9 46%

Endgame

24.5 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score122.1pts

Blue projected score92pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample36alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 30.1
Score range: 68–146
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 211 vs event baseline 134.8.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

358.6Season APEX290.7

18.7Auto21.7

66.9Teleop39.9

26.1Endgame24.5

36Consistency84

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	20
teleop	102	35
endgame	26	11
foul	0	0
total	145	66

Result

Final score

145 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 24.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree