FIRST Wisconsin State Championship presented by GE HealthCare

Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

351.09 – 351.31

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

334 – 344

Prediction correct · off by 12.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 529.4 ±9.3

6381Red Raider Robotics

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 73.33Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1259Paradigm Shift

Season APEX 194.5Event APEX 142.5Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7915Ripon Robotics

Season APEX 228.5Event APEX 135.26Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 595.2 ±9.3

2202BEAST Robotics

Season APEX 127.6Event APEX 89.21Rank 16Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1714MORE Robotics

Season APEX 220.9Event APEX 118.23Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

930Mukwonago BEARs

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 143.87Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6381, 1259, 7915

/ 100 compat

Projected

351.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6381, 1259, 7915

Auto

60.9 18%

Teleop

193.0 57%

Endgame

85.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2202, 1714, 930

/ 100 compat

Projected

351.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 2202, 1714, 930

Auto

56.2 17%

Teleop

189.6 56%

Endgame

94.7 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score351.1pts

Blue projected score351.3pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.2
Score range: 303–399
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 678 vs event baseline 269.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

529.4Season APEX595.2

60.9Auto56.2

193Teleop189.6

85.5Endgame94.7

128Consistency106

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	90
teleop	185	149
endgame	98	90
foul	0	15
total	334	344

Result

Final score

334 – 344

Prediction correct · off by 12.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.