Qualification · Qualification 72
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
147.75 – 292.19
14%86%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
83 – 268
Prediction correct · off by 44.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 222.2 ±10.4
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 33.68Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 35.57Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 91Event APEX 78.5Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 485.8 ±9.8
Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 89.35Rank 10Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 144.13Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 115.8Event APEX 58.71Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2830, 9149, 706
49
/ 100 compatProjected
147.8 pts
~0.7 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 2830, 9149, 706
Auto
27.2 19%
Teleop
69.6 47%
Endgame
49.9 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2062, 1792, 93
70
/ 100 compatProjected
292.2 pts
~2.3 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 2062, 1792, 93
Auto
53.5 19%
Teleop
180.9 63%
Endgame
54.0 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.3
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score147.8pts
Blue projected score292.2pts
Red win probability14%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 30%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -144.4
- Score range
- 100–340
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
222.2Season APEX485.8
27.2Auto53.5
69.6Teleop180.9
49.9Endgame54
114Consistency138
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 67 |
| teleop | 36 | 107 |
| endgame | 28 | 94 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 83 | 268 |
Result
Final score
83 – 268
Prediction correct · off by 44.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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