Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
257.71 – 205.14
66%34%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
233 – 241
Prediction missed · off by 30.3 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 492.4 ±9.3
Season APEX 245.9Event APEX 108.57Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 34Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 162.6Event APEX 115.14Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 435.6 ±9.8
Season APEX 115.8Event APEX 76.57Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 76.86Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 51.71Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2194, 7900, 4786
70
/ 100 compatProjected
257.7 pts
~1.9 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 2194, 7900, 4786
Auto
46.3 18%
Teleop
142.9 56%
Endgame
65.7 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 93, 6732, 930
61
/ 100 compatProjected
205.1 pts
~1.1 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 93, 6732, 930
Auto
52.9 26%
Teleop
114.3 56%
Endgame
38.0 19%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.93 · Blue 1.14
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score257.7pts
Blue projected score205.1pts
Red win probability66%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 39%
Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 52.6
- Score range
- 159–304
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
492.4Season APEX435.6
46.3Auto52.9
142.9Teleop114.3
65.7Endgame38
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 76 | 41 |
| teleop | 83 | 132 |
| endgame | 74 | 63 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 233 | 241 |
Result
Final score
233 – 241
Prediction missed · off by 30.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.