FIRST Wisconsin State Championship presented by GE HealthCare

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

190.37 – 267.91

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

293 – 251

Prediction missed · off by 59.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 420.4 ±9.8

10909CuttingEdge

Season APEX 69Event APEX 24.92Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6223Arsenal of Engineering

Season APEX 94.2Event APEX 91.18Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1306BadgerBOTS

Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 74.27Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 322.8 ±10.4

6381Red Raider Robotics

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 101.68Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

706Cyberhawks

Season APEX 91Event APEX 82.94Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2062CORE 2062

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 83.29Rank 10Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10909, 6223, 1306

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 10909, 6223, 1306

Auto

30.2 16%

Teleop

113.1 59%

Endgame

48.4 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6381, 706, 2062

/ 100 compat

Projected

267.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6381, 706, 2062

Auto

58.2 22%

Teleop

143.3 53%

Endgame

66.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.02 · Blue 2.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score190.4pts

Blue projected score267.9pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -77.5
Score range: 142–316
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 544 vs event baseline 267.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

420.4Season APEX322.8

30.2Auto58.2

113.1Teleop143.3

48.4Endgame66.5

87Consistency96

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	69
teleop	206	120
endgame	44	57
foul	0	5
total	293	251

Result

Final score

293 – 251

Prediction missed · off by 59.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.