FIRST Wisconsin State Championship presented by GE HealthCare

Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

263.97 – 138.87

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

243 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 31.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 291 ±10.4

6223Arsenal of Engineering

Season APEX 94.2Event APEX 92.68Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5586Bond Brigade

Season APEX 74.7Event APEX 41.42Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2506Saber Robotics

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 129.87Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 280.5 ±10.4

7900Trial N' Terror

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 21.71Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10909CuttingEdge

Season APEX 69Event APEX 30.18Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2202BEAST Robotics

Season APEX 127.6Event APEX 86.98Rank 16Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6223, 5586, 2506

/ 100 compat

Projected

264 pts

~2.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6223, 5586, 2506

Auto

30.2 12%

Teleop

139.6 53%

Endgame

91.5 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7900, 10909, 2202

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7900, 10909, 2202

Auto

27.6 20%

Teleop

37.8 28%

Endgame

70.8 52%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score264pts

Blue projected score138.9pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 125.1
Score range: 90–313
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 340 vs event baseline 273.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

291Season APEX280.5

30.2Auto27.6

139.6Teleop37.8

91.5Endgame70.8

158Consistency108

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	19
teleop	150	42
endgame	51	31
foul	0	5
total	243	97

Result

Final score

243 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 31.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.