FIRST Wisconsin State Championship presented by GE HealthCare

Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

246.02 – 127.44

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

297 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 31.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 466.3 ±9.3

537Charger Robotics

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 40.72Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1714MORE Robotics

Season APEX 220.9Event APEX 93.04Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1259Paradigm Shift

Season APEX 194.5Event APEX 112.26Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 220.6 ±10.4

8701GRAFFITI

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 31.48Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1675UPS (Ultimate Protection Squad)

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 27.42Rank 32Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

2830Riverside RoboTigers

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 68.54Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 537, 1714, 1259

/ 100 compat

Projected

246 pts

~2.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 537, 1714, 1259

Auto

52.7 22%

Teleop

119.7 50%

Endgame

67.9 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8701, 1675, 2830

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 8701, 1675, 2830

Auto

7.9 6%

Teleop

68.8 52%

Endgame

55.8 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.16 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score246pts

Blue projected score127.4pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 118.6
Score range: 78–295
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 413 vs event baseline 272.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

466.3Season APEX220.6

52.7Auto7.9

119.7Teleop68.8

67.9Endgame55.8

176Consistency98

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	87	15
teleop	149	41
endgame	61	60
foul	0	0
total	297	116

Result

Final score

297 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 31.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.