FIRST Wisconsin State Championship presented by GE HealthCare

Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

68.39 – 255.4

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

315 – 298

Prediction missed · off by 144.6 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 527 ±9.3

3197HexHounds

Season APEX 229.9Event APEX 59.65Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8701GRAFFITI

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 2.76Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1714MORE Robotics

Season APEX 220.9Event APEX 5.98Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 347.7 ±10.4

6381Red Raider Robotics

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 109.27Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2506Saber Robotics

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 86.48Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5826Avis Automata

Season APEX 119.2Event APEX 59.65Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3197, 8701, 1714

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 3197, 8701, 1714

Auto

35.4 51%

Teleop

64.4 93%

Endgame

-30.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6381, 2506, 5826

/ 100 compat

Projected

255.4 pts

~2.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6381, 2506, 5826

Auto

41.2 16%

Teleop

185.7 73%

Endgame

27.7 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score68.4pts

Blue projected score255.4pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -187
Score range: 21–302
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 613 vs event baseline 261.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

527Season APEX347.7

35.4Auto41.2

64.4Teleop185.7

-30.5Endgame27.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	45
teleop	160	150
endgame	90	93
foul	0	10
total	315	298

Result

Final score

315 – 298

Prediction missed · off by 144.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.