Skip to content
Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
WIN District Appleton Event

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

348.18 – 177.85

89%11%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

414 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 56.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 553.8 ±10.7
11258Honey Badgers
D
Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 12.29Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
2194Fondy Fire
A
Season APEX 245.9Event APEX 116.24Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1306BadgerBOTS
A
Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 219.65Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 415.7 ±9.8
2830Riverside RoboTigers
D
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 24.84Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
6421WarriorBots
C
Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 73.57Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1792Round Table Robotics
A
Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 79.44Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11258, 2194, 1306
79
/ 100 compat
Projected
348.2 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 11258, 2194, 1306
Auto
65.4 19%
Teleop
216.6 62%
Endgame
64.8 19%
Strengths
  • · 1306 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2830, 6421, 1792
81
/ 100 compat
Projected
177.9 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 2830, 6421, 1792
Auto
33.8 19%
Teleop
95.9 55%
Endgame
45.1 26%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.38 · Blue 0.65
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score348.2pts
Blue projected score177.9pts
Red win probability89%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 39%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
170.3
Score range
155–371
Upset likelihood
11%
Data cutoff
2026-08-17
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 639 vs event baseline 127.3.

← PreviousNext →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

553.8Season APEX415.7
65.4Auto33.8
216.6Teleop95.9
64.8Endgame45.1
0Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto8246
teleop239105
endgame8864
foul510
total414225

Result

Final score

414 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 56.5 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.