Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
340.96 – 81.72
96%4%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
446 – 71
Prediction correct · off by 57.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 576.2 ±9.3
Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 17.42Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 245.9Event APEX 109.51Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 214.03Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 134.3 ±14.6
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 32.07Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 27.02Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 22.63Rank 38Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6732, 2194, 1306
79
/ 100 compatProjected
341 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 6732, 2194, 1306
Auto
66.5 20%
Teleop
205.3 61%
Endgame
63.9 19%
Strengths
- · 1306 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1091, 8803, 3381
51
/ 100 compatProjected
81.7 pts
~0.4 RP (district)
Teams: 1091, 8803, 3381
Auto
20.3 26%
Teleop
36.4 46%
Endgame
21.9 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.43
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score341pts
Blue projected score81.7pts
Red win probability96%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 31%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 259.2
- Score range
- 60–363
- Upset likelihood
- 4%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
576.2Season APEX134.3
66.5Auto20.3
205.3Teleop36.4
63.9Endgame21.9
0Consistency61
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 64 | 13 |
| teleop | 270 | 26 |
| endgame | 112 | 17 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 446 | 71 |
Result
Final score
446 – 71
Prediction correct · off by 57.9 pts
Match videos
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