Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
365.55 – 252.64
80%20%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
457 – 268
Prediction correct · off by 53.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 576.2 ±9.3
Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 22.1Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 245.9Event APEX 119.69Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 223.76Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 493.4 ±9.3
Season APEX 69Event APEX 36.46Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 229.9Event APEX 100.16Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 194.5Event APEX 116.02Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6732, 2194, 1306
80
/ 100 compatProjected
365.5 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 6732, 2194, 1306
Auto
66.9 18%
Teleop
219.3 61%
Endgame
75.6 21%
Strengths
- · 1306 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10909, 3197, 1259
80
/ 100 compatProjected
252.6 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 10909, 3197, 1259
Auto
46.2 18%
Teleop
150.1 60%
Endgame
54.4 22%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.19 · Blue 0.93
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score365.5pts
Blue projected score252.6pts
Red win probability80%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 112.9
- Score range
- 229–390
- Upset likelihood
- 20%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
576.2Season APEX493.4
66.9Auto46.2
219.3Teleop150.1
75.6Endgame54.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 98 | 46 |
| teleop | 214 | 133 |
| endgame | 80 | 84 |
| foul | 65 | 5 |
| total | 457 | 268 |
Result
Final score
457 – 268
Prediction correct · off by 53.4 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.