Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
47.95 – 108.58
32%68%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
163 – 94
Prediction missed · off by 64.8 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 267.9 ±11
Season APEX 115.8Event APEX 35.47Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 91Event APEX 12.7Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 61.1Event APEX -0.22Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 248 ±11.7
Season APEX 130.1Event APEX 43.08Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48.9Event APEX 18.57Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69Event APEX 46.93Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 93, 706, 9760
47
/ 100 compatProjected
48 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 93, 706, 9760
Auto
7.3 17%
Teleop
23.1 54%
Endgame
12.4 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8744, 10287, 10909
69
/ 100 compatProjected
108.6 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 8744, 10287, 10909
Auto
12.0 12%
Teleop
51.0 52%
Endgame
34.3 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 1.74
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score48pts
Blue projected score108.6pts
Red win probability32%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 34%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -60.6
- Score range
- 30–127
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
267.9Season APEX248
7.3Auto12
23.1Teleop51
12.4Endgame34.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 28 |
| teleop | 101 | 54 |
| endgame | 39 | 12 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 163 | 94 |
Result
Final score
163 – 94
Prediction missed · off by 64.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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