Qualification · Qualification 76
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
128.42 – 245.56
19%81%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
125 – 237
Prediction correct · off by 6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 332.7 ±12.4
Season APEX 52.1Event APEX 18.65Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 14.81Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 229.9Event APEX 94.96Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 412.5 ±9.8
Season APEX 115.8Event APEX 58.23Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 77.54Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 194.5Event APEX 109.79Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5019, 11258, 3197
61
/ 100 compatProjected
128.4 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 5019, 11258, 3197
Auto
21.1 16%
Teleop
79.1 61%
Endgame
29.2 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 93, 6421, 1259
79
/ 100 compatProjected
245.6 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 93, 6421, 1259
Auto
33.8 14%
Teleop
140.0 58%
Endgame
67.9 28%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.88 · Blue 2.18
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score128.4pts
Blue projected score245.6pts
Red win probability19%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -117.1
- Score range
- 106–268
- Upset likelihood
- 19%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
332.7Season APEX412.5
21.1Auto33.8
79.1Teleop140
29.2Endgame67.9
6Consistency51
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 39 |
| teleop | 55 | 153 |
| endgame | 37 | 45 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 125 | 237 |
Result
Final score
125 – 237
Prediction correct · off by 6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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