Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

129.04 – 69.15

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

124 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 15.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 310.5 ±11.7

3197HexHounds

Season APEX 229.9Event APEX 97.49Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6318FE Freedom Engineers

Season APEX 28.5Event APEX 27.39Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8802Milwaukee United

Season APEX 52.1Event APEX 4.16Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 141.5 ±13.3

3381Droid Rage

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 21.03Rank 38Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1091Oriole Assault

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 28.67Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10287Kingdom Prep RC

Season APEX 48.9Event APEX 19.45Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3197, 6318, 8802

/ 100 compat

Projected

129 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3197, 6318, 8802

Auto

29.7 23%

Teleop

76.2 59%

Endgame

23.0 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3381, 1091, 10287

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3381, 1091, 10287

Auto

12.3 18%

Teleop

31.2 46%

Endgame

23.6 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score129pts

Blue projected score69.2pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 59.9
Score range: 47–151
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 220 vs event baseline 122.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

310.5Season APEX141.5

29.7Auto12.3

76.2Teleop31.2

23Endgame23.6

76Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	21
teleop	63	36
endgame	43	14
foul	0	25
total	124	96

Result

Final score

124 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 15.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.