Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
74.57 – 83.43
47%53%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
60 – 223
Prediction correct · off by 77.1 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 195.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 54.7Event APEX -Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 43.43Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 15.71Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 381.8 ±12.7
Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 17.14Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Season APEX 245.9Event APEX -Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 94.2Event APEX 50.86Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1716, 10264, 2830
63
/ 100 compatProjected
74.6 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 1716, 10264, 2830
Auto
18.9 29%
Teleop
29.4 46%
Endgame
16.2 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8803, 2194, 6223
65
/ 100 compatProjected
83.4 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 8803, 2194, 6223
Auto
15.5 19%
Teleop
41.7 51%
Endgame
24.8 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.58
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score74.6pts
Blue projected score83.4pts
Red win probability47%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 36%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -8.9
- Score range
- 58–100
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
195.1Season APEX381.8
14.3Auto10.9
21.7Teleop34
13.1Endgame21.7
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 62 |
| teleop | 17 | 106 |
| endgame | 21 | 45 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 60 | 223 |
Result
Final score
60 – 223
Prediction correct · off by 77.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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