Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

127.75 – 237.95

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

147 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 16.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 269.3 ±11.7

171Cheese Curd Herd

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 45.62Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1716Redbird Robotics

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 5.49Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6421WarriorBots

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 76.64Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 374.7 ±12.4

11258Honey Badgers

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 15.95Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1306BadgerBOTS

Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 209.65Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9425Intra Milwaukee

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 12.35Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 171, 1716, 6421

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 171, 1716, 6421

Auto

8.1 7%

Teleop

65.6 55%

Endgame

45.0 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11258, 1306, 9425

/ 100 compat

Projected

238 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11258, 1306, 9425

Auto

44.4 19%

Teleop

151.9 63%

Endgame

43.5 18%

Strengths

· 1306 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score127.8pts

Blue projected score238pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -110.2
Score range: 106–260
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 399 vs event baseline 122.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

269.3Season APEX374.7

8.1Auto44.4

65.6Teleop151.9

45Endgame43.5

95Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	25
teleop	67	188
endgame	57	39
foul	0	0
total	147	252

Result

Final score

147 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 16.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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