Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

156.6 – 156.12

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

141 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 24.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 378.9 ±10.5

706Cyberhawks

Season APEX 91Event APEX 40.33Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1792Round Table Robotics

Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 84.54Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1091Oriole Assault

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 31.73Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346 ±11.2

6732BHS RoboRaiders

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 21.06Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1259Paradigm Shift

Season APEX 194.5Event APEX 112.72Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4054The Aeronauts

Season APEX 78.4Event APEX 22.34Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 706, 1792, 1091

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 706, 1792, 1091

Auto

33.5 22%

Teleop

80.3 52%

Endgame

40.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6732, 1259, 4054

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6732, 1259, 4054

Auto

27.6 18%

Teleop

78.2 52%

Endgame

45.7 30%

Strengths

· 1259 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score156.6pts

Blue projected score156.1pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0.5
Score range: 134–179
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 263 vs event baseline 121.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

378.9Season APEX346

33.5Auto27.6

80.3Teleop78.2

40.6Endgame45.7

54Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	3	21
teleop	81	74
endgame	52	27
foul	5	0
total	141	122

Result

Final score

141 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 24.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.