Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

188.37 – 88.43

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

135 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 49.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 564.5 ±9.8

3197HexHounds

Season APEX 229.9Event APEX 113.48Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2826Wave Robotics

Season APEX 215.4Event APEX -6.65Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5826Avis Automata

Season APEX 119.2Event APEX 81.54Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 221.2 ±12.8

11258Honey Badgers

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 20.03Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

93NEW Apple Corps

Season APEX 115.8Event APEX 63.13Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1716Redbird Robotics

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 5.27Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3197, 2826, 5826

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3197, 2826, 5826

Auto

40.1 22%

Teleop

110.8 61%

Endgame

30.3 17%

Strengths

· 3197 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11258, 93, 1716

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 11258, 93, 1716

Auto

16.8 20%

Teleop

40.8 48%

Endgame

28.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score188.4pts

Blue projected score88.4pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 99.9
Score range: 66–210
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 178 vs event baseline 120.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

564.5Season APEX221.2

40.1Auto16.8

110.8Teleop40.8

30.3Endgame28

57Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	17
teleop	65	18
endgame	35	8
foul	0	0
total	135	43

Result

Final score

135 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 49.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.