Qualification · Qualification 55
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
102.05 – 18.77
74%26%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
107 – 50
Prediction correct · off by 18.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 220.2 ±12.2
Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 69.61Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 52.1Event APEX 7.77Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 65.9Event APEX 24.67Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 166.8 ±15.1
Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 23.24Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Season APEX 66.5Event APEX -14.87Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 10.4Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6421, 8802, 5903
55
/ 100 compatProjected
102.1 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 6421, 8802, 5903
Auto
8.6 8%
Teleop
57.3 56%
Endgame
36.3 36%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8803, 9578, 8700
6
/ 100 compatProjected
18.8 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 8803, 9578, 8700
Auto
16.8 100%
Teleop
-2.8 0%
Endgame
1.0 7%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.88 · Blue 0.86
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score102.1pts
Blue projected score18.8pts
Red win probability74%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 29%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 83.3
- Score range
- -3–124
- Upset likelihood
- 26%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
220.2Season APEX166.8
8.6Auto16.8
57.3Teleop-2.8
36.3Endgame1
91Consistency42
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 17 |
| teleop | 47 | 23 |
| endgame | 45 | 10 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 107 | 50 |
Result
Final score
107 – 50
Prediction correct · off by 18.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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