Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

305.35 – 149.37

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

252 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 31.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 400.3 ±11.2

1306BadgerBOTS

Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 208.48Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6223Arsenal of Engineering

Season APEX 94.2Event APEX 73.34Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10287Kingdom Prep RC

Season APEX 48.9Event APEX 23.53Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 385.6 ±10.5

1792Round Table Robotics

Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 82.28Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5148New Berlin Blitz

Season APEX 67.9Event APEX 45.43Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6732BHS RoboRaiders

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 21.66Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1306, 6223, 10287

/ 100 compat

Projected

305.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1306, 6223, 10287

Auto

50.7 17%

Teleop

205.5 68%

Endgame

47.4 16%

Strengths

· 1306 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1792, 5148, 6732

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.4 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1792, 5148, 6732

Auto

33.1 23%

Teleop

63.5 45%

Endgame

44.4 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score305.4pts

Blue projected score149.4pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 156
Score range: 127–327
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 391 vs event baseline 121.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

400.3Season APEX385.6

50.7Auto33.1

205.5Teleop63.5

47.4Endgame44.4

50Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	32
teleop	138	69
endgame	66	38
foul	30	0
total	252	139

Result

Final score

252 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 31.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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