Qualification · Qualification 51
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
145.3 – 66.66
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
64 – 122
Prediction missed · off by 68.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 321.5 ±12.4
Season APEX 194.5Event APEX 114.34Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 18.69Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 68.4Event APEX 12.27Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 237.7 ±13.6
Season APEX 65.9Event APEX 17.56Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 130.1Event APEX 31.88Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 17.22Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1259, 8700, 6643
71
/ 100 compatProjected
145.3 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 1259, 8700, 6643
Auto
31.0 22%
Teleop
73.1 52%
Endgame
37.7 27%
Strengths
- · 1259 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5903, 8744, 8803
43
/ 100 compatProjected
66.7 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 5903, 8744, 8803
Auto
20.9 32%
Teleop
31.2 48%
Endgame
12.4 19%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 0.91
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score145.3pts
Blue projected score66.7pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 33%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 78.6
- Score range
- 45–167
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
321.5Season APEX237.7
31Auto20.9
73.1Teleop31.2
37.7Endgame12.4
21Consistency44
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 20 |
| teleop | 26 | 74 |
| endgame | 15 | 28 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 64 | 122 |
Result
Final score
64 – 122
Prediction missed · off by 68.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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