Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

43.73 – 171.93

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

50 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 166.3 ±13.3

8802Milwaukee United

Season APEX 52.1Event APEX 6.57Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11139Blackhawk Robotics #11139

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 8.45Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9760Cristo Rey Jesuit Trailblazers

Season APEX 61.1Event APEX 28.71Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 375.6 ±11.2

706Cyberhawks

Season APEX 91Event APEX 41.02Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3197HexHounds

Season APEX 229.9Event APEX 119.09Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1716Redbird Robotics

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 11.82Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8802, 11139, 9760

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8802, 11139, 9760

Auto

17.9 43%

Teleop

25.1 60%

Endgame

-1.2 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 706, 3197, 1716

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 706, 3197, 1716

Auto

26.2 16%

Teleop

86.6 53%

Endgame

51.2 31%

Strengths

· 3197 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score43.7pts

Blue projected score171.9pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -128.2
Score range: 22–194
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 168 vs event baseline 123.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

166.3Season APEX375.6

17.9Auto26.2

25.1Teleop86.6

-1.2Endgame51.2

75Consistency101

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	26
teleop	23	91
endgame	21	1
foul	0	0
total	50	118

Result

Final score

50 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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