Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

122.54 – 28.47

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

123 – 92

Prediction correct · off by 32 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 166.8 ±11.6

6318FE Freedom Engineers

Season APEX 28.5Event APEX 28.44Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10264STORM

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 68.35Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7103Robo Remedy @ Manitowoc Lutheran High School

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 25.75Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.3 ±12.8

171Cheese Curd Herd

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 30.9Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3381Droid Rage

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 14.16Rank 38Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5096The Teutonic Force

Season APEX 55.6Event APEX -16.59Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6318, 10264, 7103

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6318, 10264, 7103

Auto

28.6 24%

Teleop

57.1 48%

Endgame

33.2 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 171, 3381, 5096

/ 100 compat

Projected

28.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 171, 3381, 5096

Auto

7.9 27%

Teleop

3.8 13%

Endgame

17.6 60%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score122.5pts

Blue projected score28.5pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 94.1
Score range: 6–145
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 215 vs event baseline 123.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

166.8Season APEX217.3

28.6Auto7.9

57.1Teleop3.8

33.2Endgame17.6

49Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	16
teleop	66	35
endgame	24	36
foul	0	5
total	123	92

Result

Final score

123 – 92

Prediction correct · off by 32 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.