Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.37 – 103.6

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

61 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 22.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 325.5 ±12.2

9425Intra Milwaukee

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 20.91Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2826Wave Robotics

Season APEX 215.4Event APEX -11.01Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1091Oriole Assault

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 39.47Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 284.4 ±11.7

5019Gearbox Heroes

Season APEX 52.1Event APEX 8.62Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6421WarriorBots

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 68.7Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8744Leviathans

Season APEX 130.1Event APEX 26.28Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9425, 2826, 1091

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9425, 2826, 1091

Auto

11.6 25%

Teleop

20.8 44%

Endgame

14.6 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5019, 6421, 8744

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5019, 6421, 8744

Auto

9.0 9%

Teleop

67.4 65%

Endgame

27.2 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.96 · Blue 1.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score49.4pts

Blue projected score103.6pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -54.2
Score range: 27–126
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 198 vs event baseline 123.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

325.5Season APEX284.4

11.6Auto9

20.8Teleop67.4

14.6Endgame27.2

117Consistency90

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	21
teleop	34	79
endgame	4	37
foul	0	0
total	61	137

Result

Final score

61 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 22.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.