Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

122.79 – 301.77

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

137 – 388

Prediction correct · off by 50.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 364.3 ±11.2

10909CuttingEdge

Season APEX 69Event APEX 22.99Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11258Honey Badgers

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 21.43Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1792Round Table Robotics

Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 78.37Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 576.2 ±9.3

1306BadgerBOTS

Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 197.85Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2194Fondy Fire

Season APEX 245.9Event APEX 92.78Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6732BHS RoboRaiders

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 11.14Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10909, 11258, 1792

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.8 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10909, 11258, 1792

Auto

33.7 27%

Teleop

66.2 53%

Endgame

24.6 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1306, 2194, 6732

/ 100 compat

Projected

301.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1306, 2194, 6732

Auto

67.3 23%

Teleop

184.0 62%

Endgame

47.1 16%

Strengths

· 1306 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.63 · Blue 2.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score122.8pts

Blue projected score301.8pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -179
Score range: 101–324
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 525 vs event baseline 120.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

364.3Season APEX576.2

33.7Auto67.3

66.2Teleop184

24.6Endgame47.1

26Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	85
teleop	66	227
endgame	28	76
foul	0	0
total	137	388

Result

Final score

137 – 388

Prediction correct · off by 50.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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