Qualification · Qualification 41
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
83.1 – 367.02
3%97%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
108 – 316
Prediction correct · off by 38 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 216.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 94.2Event APEX 70.2Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 8.24Rank 38Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 4.66Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 528.8 ±12.2
Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 201.58Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 28.75Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Season APEX 229.9Event APEX 136.69Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6223, 3381, 6732
51
/ 100 compatProjected
83.1 pts
~0.5 RP (district)
Teams: 6223, 3381, 6732
Auto
26.9 33%
Teleop
38.7 48%
Endgame
15.0 19%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1306, 8803, 3197
78
/ 100 compatProjected
367 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 1306, 8803, 3197
Auto
46.9 13%
Teleop
237.6 65%
Endgame
83.5 23%
Strengths
- · 1306 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.49 · Blue 2.53
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score83.1pts
Blue projected score367pts
Red win probability3%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -283.9
- Score range
- 61–389
- Upset likelihood
- 3%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
216.6Season APEX528.8
26.9Auto46.9
38.7Teleop237.6
15Endgame83.5
52Consistency1
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 74 |
| teleop | 41 | 216 |
| endgame | 37 | 26 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 108 | 316 |
Result
Final score
108 – 316
Prediction correct · off by 38 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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