Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

130.12 – 66.62

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

250 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 69.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 415.9 ±11.2

1792Round Table Robotics

Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 58.87Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5019Gearbox Heroes

Season APEX 52.1Event APEX -5.05Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5826Avis Automata

Season APEX 119.2Event APEX 76.3Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 156.1 ±12.7

9760Cristo Rey Jesuit Trailblazers

Season APEX 61.1Event APEX 31.67Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6318FE Freedom Engineers

Season APEX 28.5Event APEX 35.43Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9578Player One

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX -0.48Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1792, 5019, 5826

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1792, 5019, 5826

Auto

44.3 35%

Teleop

63.2 50%

Endgame

19.7 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9760, 6318, 9578

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9760, 6318, 9578

Auto

16.0 26%

Teleop

31.7 52%

Endgame

13.4 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.93 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score130.1pts

Blue projected score66.6pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 63.5
Score range: 45–152
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 297 vs event baseline 119.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

415.9Season APEX156.1

44.3Auto16

63.2Teleop31.7

19.7Endgame13.4

93Consistency122

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	19
teleop	126	16
endgame	62	12
foul	20	0
total	250	47

Result

Final score

250 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 69.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.