Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

134.84 – 19.16

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

196 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 62.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 415.4 ±9.8

3197HexHounds

Season APEX 229.9Event APEX 129.08Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6732BHS RoboRaiders

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX -2.23Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

171Cheese Curd Herd

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 7.99Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281.6 ±11.7

1091Oriole Assault

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 29.64Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1716Redbird Robotics

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 2.21Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10553Orange Overdrive

Season APEX 183.6Event APEX -12.69Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3197, 6732, 171

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3197, 6732, 171

Auto

4.9 4%

Teleop

77.3 58%

Endgame

50.1 38%

Strengths

· 3197 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1091, 1716, 10553

/ 100 compat

Projected

19.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1091, 1716, 10553

Auto

16.0 100%

Teleop

0.4 3%

Endgame

-4.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score134.8pts

Blue projected score19.2pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 115.7
Score range: -3–157
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 279 vs event baseline 120.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

415.4Season APEX281.6

4.9Auto16

77.3Teleop0.4

50.1Endgame-4.5

39Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	18
teleop	93	27
endgame	57	28
foul	15	10
total	196	83

Result

Final score

196 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 62.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.