Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

274.91 – 74.12

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

313 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 35.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 391.9 ±11.1

5148New Berlin Blitz

Season APEX 67.9Event APEX 41.26Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7103Robo Remedy @ Manitowoc Lutheran High School

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 39.49Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1306BadgerBOTS

Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 194.16Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 287.6 ±11.7

8744Leviathans

Season APEX 130.1Event APEX 39.51Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

706Cyberhawks

Season APEX 91Event APEX 31.76Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9578Player One

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 2.85Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5148, 7103, 1306

/ 100 compat

Projected

274.9 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5148, 7103, 1306

Auto

40.8 15%

Teleop

183.1 67%

Endgame

49.8 18%

Strengths

· 1306 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8744, 706, 9578

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.1 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8744, 706, 9578

Auto

17.8 29%

Teleop

28.3 46%

Endgame

15.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.35 · Blue 0.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score274.9pts

Blue projected score74.1pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 200.8
Score range: 53–296
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 355 vs event baseline 118.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

391.9Season APEX287.6

40.8Auto17.8

183.1Teleop28.3

49.8Endgame15.8

29Consistency128

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	13
teleop	170	29
endgame	82	0
foul	5	0
total	313	42

Result

Final score

313 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 35.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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