Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

120.7 – 83.45

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

54 – 153

Prediction missed · off by 68.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 194.3 ±12.8

9425Intra Milwaukee

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 24.93Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8700W.I.R.E.D

Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 49.25Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2830Riverside RoboTigers

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 46.52Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 322 ±11.7

6318FE Freedom Engineers

Season APEX 28.5Event APEX 27.31Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1792Round Table Robotics

Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 46.07Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10287Kingdom Prep RC

Season APEX 48.9Event APEX 10.07Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9425, 8700, 2830

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.7 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9425, 8700, 2830

Auto

34.2 29%

Teleop

51.9 44%

Endgame

30.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6318, 1792, 10287

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6318, 1792, 10287

Auto

35.7 46%

Teleop

38.6 49%

Endgame

4.0 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score120.7pts

Blue projected score83.4pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 37.3
Score range: 62–142
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 207 vs event baseline 119.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

194.3Season APEX322

34.2Auto35.7

51.9Teleop38.6

30.9Endgame4

68Consistency164

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	42
teleop	10	79
endgame	18	32
foul	0	0
total	54	153

Result

Final score

54 – 153

Prediction missed · off by 68.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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