Qualification · Qualification 34
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
96.8 – 85.49
54%46%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
39 – 57
Prediction missed · off by 43.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 189.1 ±14.1
Season APEX 69Event APEX 23.22Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 35.72Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Season APEX 78.4Event APEX 37.86Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 340 ±11.7
Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 70.96Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 30.11Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 215.4Event APEX -15.58Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10909, 8803, 4054
59
/ 100 compatProjected
96.8 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 10909, 8803, 4054
Auto
27.2 28%
Teleop
42.4 44%
Endgame
27.7 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10264, 11139, 2826
47
/ 100 compatProjected
85.5 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 10264, 11139, 2826
Auto
12.8 16%
Teleop
50.6 61%
Endgame
19.1 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.32
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score96.8pts
Blue projected score85.5pts
Red win probability54%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 33%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 11.3
- Score range
- 63–119
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
189.1Season APEX340
27.2Auto12.8
42.4Teleop50.6
27.7Endgame19.1
98Consistency49
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 22 |
| teleop | 16 | 24 |
| endgame | 8 | 6 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 39 | 57 |
Result
Final score
39 – 57
Prediction missed · off by 43.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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