Qualification · Qualification 30
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 9.48
44%56%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
39 – 65
Prediction correct · off by 47.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 191.7 ±12.8
Season APEX 52.1Event APEX 5.84Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 73.1Event APEX -17.43Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 1.16Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 312.9 ±11
Season APEX 215.4Event APEX -27.05Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 69Event APEX 19.25Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 28.5Event APEX 17.28Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8802, 6732, 9578
12
/ 100 compatProjected
-10.4 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 8802, 6732, 9578
Auto
2.6 0%
Teleop
-11.4 70%
Endgame
-7.6 46%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2826, 10909, 6318
11
/ 100 compatProjected
9.5 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 2826, 10909, 6318
Auto
16.7 100%
Teleop
7.1 57%
Endgame
-11.4 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.51
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-10.4pts
Blue projected score9.5pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 34%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -9.5
- Score range
- -21–30
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
191.7Season APEX312.9
2.6Auto16.7
-11.4Teleop7.1
-7.6Endgame-11.4
142Consistency149
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 28 |
| teleop | 15 | 27 |
| endgame | 6 | 10 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 39 | 65 |
Result
Final score
39 – 65
Prediction correct · off by 47.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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