Qualification · Qualification 29
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
35.7 – 109.53
29%71%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
86 – 236
Prediction correct · off by 88.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 199.9 ±13.9
Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 15.23Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 78.4Event APEX 24.64Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.7Event APEX -4.17Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 329.3 ±10.5
Season APEX 194.5Event APEX 95.35Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 28.05Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 65.9Event APEX -13.87Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9425, 4054, 1716
22
/ 100 compatProjected
35.7 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9425, 4054, 1716
Auto
20.4 60%
Teleop
-6.4 0%
Endgame
20.2 59%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1259, 2830, 5903
60
/ 100 compatProjected
109.5 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 1259, 2830, 5903
Auto
28.4 26%
Teleop
57.6 54%
Endgame
21.2 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.91 · Blue 1.81
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score35.7pts
Blue projected score109.5pts
Red win probability29%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 30%, blue 34%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -73.8
- Score range
- 15–131
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
199.9Season APEX329.3
20.4Auto28.4
-6.4Teleop57.6
20.2Endgame21.2
190Consistency55
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 49 |
| teleop | 27 | 135 |
| endgame | 28 | 52 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 86 | 236 |
Result
Final score
86 – 236
Prediction correct · off by 88.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.