Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

130.89 – 196.88

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

123 – 434

Prediction correct · off by 122.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 212.2 ±12.2

10287Kingdom Prep RC

Season APEX 48.9Event APEX 23.19Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9760Cristo Rey Jesuit Trailblazers

Season APEX 61.1Event APEX 31.32Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6421WarriorBots

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 76.38Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 387.3 ±11.2

10264STORM

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 37.32Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8700W.I.R.E.D

Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 5.52Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1306BadgerBOTS

Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 154.04Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10287, 9760, 6421

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10287, 9760, 6421

Auto

19.6 15%

Teleop

81.7 62%

Endgame

29.7 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10264, 8700, 1306

/ 100 compat

Projected

196.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10264, 8700, 1306

Auto

33.5 18%

Teleop

116.7 62%

Endgame

36.8 20%

Strengths

· 1306 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.99 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score130.9pts

Blue projected score196.9pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -66
Score range: 111–217
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 557 vs event baseline 111.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

212.2Season APEX387.3

19.6Auto33.5

81.7Teleop116.7

29.7Endgame36.8

116Consistency106

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	2	57
teleop	76	279
endgame	40	98
foul	5	0
total	123	434

Result

Final score

123 – 434

Prediction correct · off by 122.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.