Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

170.58 – 108.12

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

117 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 35.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 210.2 ±14.1

5826Avis Automata

Season APEX 119.2Event APEX 90.12Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3381Droid Rage

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 23.47Rank 38Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8803MechaMarines

Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 56.99Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 256.5 ±11.7

11139Blackhawk Robotics #11139

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 53.32Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

706Cyberhawks

Season APEX 91Event APEX 38.29Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

171Cheese Curd Herd

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 16.51Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5826, 3381, 8803

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5826, 3381, 8803

Auto

37.8 23%

Teleop

84.0 50%

Endgame

45.7 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11139, 706, 171

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11139, 706, 171

Auto

11.1 11%

Teleop

66.5 65%

Endgame

25.4 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score170.6pts

Blue projected score108.1pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 62.5
Score range: 88–191
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 208 vs event baseline 111.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

210.2Season APEX256.5

37.8Auto11.1

84Teleop66.5

45.7Endgame25.4

40Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	9
teleop	58	44
endgame	16	38
foul	0	0
total	117	91

Result

Final score

117 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 35.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.