Qualification · Qualification 23
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
52.41 – 173
18%82%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
128 – 138
Prediction correct · off by 55.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 244.2 ±10.4
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 17.61Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 54.89Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 73.1Event APEX -20.09Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 347.6 ±12.4
Season APEX 68.4Event APEX 2.24Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 41.91Rank 38Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 229.9Event APEX 128.85Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2830, 6421, 6732
37
/ 100 compatProjected
52.4 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 2830, 6421, 6732
Auto
2.7 5%
Teleop
31.8 59%
Endgame
19.7 36%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6643, 3381, 3197
83
/ 100 compatProjected
173 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6643, 3381, 3197
Auto
18.8 11%
Teleop
98.4 57%
Endgame
55.9 32%
Strengths
- · 3197 anchors offense
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.75 · Blue 2.11
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score52.4pts
Blue projected score173pts
Red win probability18%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 34%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -120.6
- Score range
- 31–194
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
244.2Season APEX347.6
2.7Auto18.8
31.8Teleop98.4
19.7Endgame55.9
80Consistency116
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 17 |
| teleop | 63 | 71 |
| endgame | 38 | 50 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 128 | 138 |
Result
Final score
128 – 138
Prediction correct · off by 55.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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