Qualification · Qualification 17
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 80.64
21%79%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
52 – 74
Prediction correct · off by 29.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 175.5 ±13.9
Season APEX 53.1Event APEX -13.39Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55.6Event APEX -6.15Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 66.8Event APEX -6.76Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 243 ±11.7
Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 13.2Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 119.2Event APEX 51.38Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 16.06Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11139, 5096, 9425
8
/ 100 compatProjected
-26.3 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 11139, 5096, 9425
Auto
14.0 0%
Teleop
-16.1 76%
Endgame
-19.0 90%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6732, 5826, 11258
57
/ 100 compatProjected
80.6 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6732, 5826, 11258
Auto
11.2 17%
Teleop
36.7 54%
Endgame
19.9 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.07
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-26.3pts
Blue projected score80.6pts
Red win probability21%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 26%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -80.6
- Score range
- -20–101
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
175.5Season APEX243
14Auto11.2
-16.1Teleop36.7
-19Endgame19.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 24 |
| teleop | 24 | 36 |
| endgame | 12 | 14 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 52 | 74 |
Result
Final score
52 – 74
Prediction correct · off by 29.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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