Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

183.55 – 52.3

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

341 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 95.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 492.3 ±9.9

5148New Berlin Blitz

Season APEX 67.9Event APEX 16.23Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3197HexHounds

Season APEX 229.9Event APEX 84.62Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1259Paradigm Shift

Season APEX 194.5Event APEX 82.7Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 189.5 ±12.2

5019Gearbox Heroes

Season APEX 52.1Event APEX 6.07Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10264STORM

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 41.43Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5903ThorBots

Season APEX 65.9Event APEX 4.8Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5148, 3197, 1259

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.6 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5148, 3197, 1259

Auto

29.7 16%

Teleop

111.1 60%

Endgame

43.4 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5019, 10264, 5903

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5019, 10264, 5903

Auto

17.4 41%

Teleop

8.2 19%

Endgame

16.5 39%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.22 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score183.6pts

Blue projected score52.3pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 131.3
Score range: 33–203
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 426 vs event baseline 104.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

492.3Season APEX189.5

29.7Auto17.4

111.1Teleop8.2

43.4Endgame16.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	7
teleop	186	46
endgame	107	32
foul	10	0
total	341	85

Result

Final score

341 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 95.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.