Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

132.86 – 87.37

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

128 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 3.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 390.9 ±11.2

8802Milwaukee United

Season APEX 52.1Event APEX 11.59Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1792Round Table Robotics

Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 49.78Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6223Arsenal of Engineering

Season APEX 94.2Event APEX 71.49Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196.9 ±11.6

7103Robo Remedy @ Manitowoc Lutheran High School

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 20.73Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9760Cristo Rey Jesuit Trailblazers

Season APEX 61.1Event APEX 25.47Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10909CuttingEdge

Season APEX 69Event APEX 41.17Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8802, 1792, 6223

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8802, 1792, 6223

Auto

39.9 32%

Teleop

61.4 49%

Endgame

25.1 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7103, 9760, 10909

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7103, 9760, 10909

Auto

13.2 15%

Teleop

55.3 63%

Endgame

19.9 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.77 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score132.9pts

Blue projected score87.4pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 45.5
Score range: 69–151
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 214 vs event baseline 101.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

390.9Season APEX196.9

39.9Auto13.2

61.4Teleop55.3

25.1Endgame19.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	26
teleop	70	49
endgame	17	11
foul	10	0
total	128	86

Result

Final score

128 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 3.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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