Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
58.16 – 29.7
59%41%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
71 – 80
Prediction missed · off by 31.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 234.1 ±12.8
Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 2.14Rank 38Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 8.52Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 130.1Event APEX 47.5Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 223.7 ±12.8
Season APEX 48.9Event APEX -3.58Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 119.2Event APEX 38.39Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 55.6Event APEX -5.11Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3381, 1716, 8744
45
/ 100 compatProjected
58.2 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 3381, 1716, 8744
Auto
24.1 44%
Teleop
17.1 31%
Endgame
13.3 24%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10287, 5826, 5096
19
/ 100 compatProjected
29.7 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 10287, 5826, 5096
Auto
18.1 97%
Teleop
-2.3 0%
Endgame
2.9 16%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.58 · Blue 1.27
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score58.2pts
Blue projected score29.7pts
Red win probability59%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 36%, blue 39%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 28.5
- Score range
- 11–77
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
234.1Season APEX223.7
24.1Auto18.1
17.1Teleop-2.3
13.3Endgame2.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 27 |
| teleop | 39 | 41 |
| endgame | 11 | 12 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 71 | 80 |
Result
Final score
71 – 80
Prediction missed · off by 31.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.