Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

378.8 – 189.92

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

402 – 212

Prediction correct · off by 22.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 576.2 ±9.3

6732BHS RoboRaiders

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 26.75Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2194Fondy Fire

Season APEX 245.9Event APEX 123.89Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1306BadgerBOTS

Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 228.16Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 415.7 ±9.8

2830Riverside RoboTigers

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 29.01Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6421WarriorBots

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 77.52Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1792Round Table Robotics

Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 83.39Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6732, 2194, 1306

/ 100 compat

Projected

378.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6732, 2194, 1306

Auto

74.6 20%

Teleop

218.2 59%

Endgame

74.0 20%

Strengths

· 1306 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2830, 6421, 1792

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.9 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2830, 6421, 1792

Auto

36.5 20%

Teleop

98.1 53%

Endgame

51.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.41 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score378.8pts

Blue projected score189.9pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 188.9
Score range: 165–404
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 614 vs event baseline 136.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

576.2Season APEX415.7

74.6Auto36.5

218.2Teleop98.1

74Endgame51.6

0Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	90	30
teleop	221	112
endgame	71	65
foul	20	5
total	402	212

Result

Final score

402 – 212

Prediction correct · off by 22.6 pts

Match videos

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