Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
380.22 – 194.42
91%9%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
368 – 150
Prediction correct · off by 28.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 576.2 ±9.3
Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 27.16Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 245.9Event APEX 124.19Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 257.2Event APEX 228.87Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 415.7 ±9.8
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 30.5Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 78.96Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 84.96Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6732, 2194, 1306
80
/ 100 compatProjected
380.2 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 6732, 2194, 1306
Auto
71.6 19%
Teleop
219.4 60%
Endgame
76.2 21%
Strengths
- · 1306 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2830, 6421, 1792
82
/ 100 compatProjected
194.4 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 2830, 6421, 1792
Auto
37.1 19%
Teleop
99.5 52%
Endgame
53.9 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.62
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score380.2pts
Blue projected score194.4pts
Red win probability91%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 39%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 185.8
- Score range
- 170–404
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
576.2Season APEX415.7
71.6Auto37.1
219.4Teleop99.5
76.2Endgame53.9
0Consistency51
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 94 | 33 |
| teleop | 210 | 86 |
| endgame | 59 | 31 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 368 | 150 |
Result
Final score
368 – 150
Prediction correct · off by 28.3 pts
Match videos
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