Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
102.37 – 44.72
67%33%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
200 – 55
Prediction correct · off by 54 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 650.4 ±7.5
Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 46.93Rank 15Record 1-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 51.35Rank 2Record 3-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 4.09Rank 23Record 1-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 401.6 ±10.4
Season APEX 109.8Event APEX -11.05Rank 22Record 1-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 133.5Event APEX 22.48Rank 8Record 2-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 33.29Rank 12Record 2-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1768, 4909, 9644
62
/ 100 compatProjected
102.4 pts
~1.5 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1768, 4909, 9644
Auto
13.1 14%
Teleop
76.7 80%
Endgame
6.3 7%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 15%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1119, 2423, 5422
31
/ 100 compatProjected
44.7 pts
~0.8 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1119, 2423, 5422
Auto
-1.6 0%
Teleop
34.3 88%
Endgame
6.3 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 15%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.53 · Blue 0.84
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score102.4pts
Blue projected score44.7pts
Red win probability67%
Event bonus sample62alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 15%, blue 15%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 57.7
- Score range
- 29–118
- Upset likelihood
- 33%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
650.4Season APEX401.6
13.1Auto-1.6
76.7Teleop34.3
6.3Endgame6.3
99Consistency115
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 36 | 22 |
| teleop | 139 | 16 |
| endgame | 25 | 12 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 200 | 55 |
Result
Final score
200 – 55
Prediction correct · off by 54 pts
Match videos
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