Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

94.47 – 85.69

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

23 – 104

Prediction missed · off by 44.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 578.9 ±8.8

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 38.74Rank 9Record 2-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 13.91Rank 24Record 1-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8724Mayhem

Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 41.82Rank 3Record 3-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 710 ±9.3

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 33.19Rank 16Record 1-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

78AIR STRIKE

Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 21.81Rank 10Record 2-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

131CHAOS

Season APEX 268.3Event APEX 30.69Rank 14Record 2-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 190, 1735, 8724

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.5 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 190, 1735, 8724

Auto

25.0 27%

Teleop

47.0 51%

Endgame

20.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 88, 78, 131

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.7 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 88, 78, 131

Auto

19.0 22%

Teleop

46.4 54%

Endgame

20.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score94.5pts

Blue projected score85.7pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 8.8
Score range: 69–111
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 127 vs event baseline 93.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

578.9Season APEX710

25Auto19

47Teleop46.4

20.2Endgame20.1

23Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	37
teleop	7	21
endgame	2	11
foul	0	35
total	23	104

Result

Final score

23 – 104

Prediction missed · off by 44.9 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.