Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

26.06 – 52.01

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

18 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 7.5 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 287.2 ±11

4041Iron Tigers

Season APEX 110.1Event APEX 2.35Rank 18Record 1-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2342Team Phoenix

Season APEX 108.3Event APEX 33.72Rank 20Record 1-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

501The PowerKnights

Season APEX 68.8Event APEX -10.01Rank 29Record 0-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 495.7 ±10.4

5422Stormgears

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 24.62Rank 12Record 2-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 14.84Rank 4Record 3-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1153Timberwolves

Season APEX 156.7Event APEX 12.55Rank 11Record 2-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4041, 2342, 501

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.1 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4041, 2342, 501

Auto

9.6 38%

Teleop

12.5 50%

Endgame

2.9 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5422, 2079, 1153

/ 100 compat

Projected

52 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5422, 2079, 1153

Auto

7.9 16%

Teleop

32.5 65%

Endgame

9.7 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.02 · Blue 1.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score26.1pts

Blue projected score52pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -25.9
Score range: 11–67
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 77 vs event baseline 83.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

287.2Season APEX495.7

9.6Auto7.9

12.5Teleop32.5

2.9Endgame9.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	4	4
teleop	11	32
endgame	3	23
foul	0	0
total	18	59

Result

Final score

18 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 7.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.