Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

47.02 – 92.25

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

99 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 31.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 615.3 ±9.8

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 28.3Rank 13Record 2-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1512The Big Red

Season APEX 135.2Event APEX -0.55Rank 26Record 0-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5422Stormgears

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 19.27Rank 12Record 2-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 601.5 ±8.8

78AIR STRIKE

Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 16.53Rank 10Record 2-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 46.66Rank 2Record 3-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 29.06Rank 16Record 1-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5000, 1512, 5422

/ 100 compat

Projected

47 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5000, 1512, 5422

Auto

13.0 24%

Teleop

29.5 55%

Endgame

11.2 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 78, 4909, 88

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.3 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 78, 4909, 88

Auto

12.0 13%

Teleop

54.3 61%

Endgame

23.2 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.87 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score47pts

Blue projected score92.3pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 10%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -45.2
Score range: 33–106
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 203 vs event baseline 78.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

615.3Season APEX601.5

13Auto12

29.5Teleop54.3

11.2Endgame23.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	19
teleop	36	59
endgame	12	26
foul	10	0
total	99	104

Result

Final score

99 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 31.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.