Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.18 – 96.91

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

28 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 35.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 437.4 ±11.1

2342Team Phoenix

Season APEX 108.3Event APEX 18.1Rank 20Record 1-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

131CHAOS

Season APEX 268.3Event APEX 30.24Rank 14Record 2-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

811Wild Cards

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 0.84Rank 27Record 0-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 592.3 ±9.3

3566Gone Fishin'

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX -0.33Rank 25Record 1-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 48.95Rank 7Record 2-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8724Mayhem

Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 48.29Rank 3Record 3-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2342, 131, 811

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.2 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2342, 131, 811

Auto

16.6 38%

Teleop

15.7 36%

Endgame

11.9 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3566, 1073, 8724

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.9 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3566, 1073, 8724

Auto

14.3 14%

Teleop

76.5 76%

Endgame

9.6 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.85 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score49.2pts

Blue projected score96.9pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample62alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 10%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -47.7
Score range: 34–112
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 75 vs event baseline 82.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

437.4Season APEX592.3

16.6Auto14.3

15.7Teleop76.5

11.9Endgame9.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	3
teleop	11	35
endgame	10	9
foul	0	0
total	28	47

Result

Final score

28 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 35.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.