Qualification · Qualification 12
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
64.4 – 19.36
64%36%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
122 – 37
Prediction correct · off by 37.6 points
Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 427 ±11.2
Season APEX 125.8Event APEX -4.07Rank 19Record 1-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 32.03Rank 6Record 2-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50.3Event APEX 36.44Rank 5Record 2-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 297.4 ±10.4
Season APEX 68.8Event APEX -19.93Rank 29Record 0-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 133.5Event APEX 42.12Rank 8Record 2-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 95.1Event APEX -2.83Rank 24Record 1-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 151, 2877, 1721
52
/ 100 compatProjected
64.4 pts
~1.5 RP (offseason)
Teams: 151, 2877, 1721
Auto
6.0 9%
Teleop
48.0 73%
Endgame
11.5 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 501, 2423, 1735
17
/ 100 compatProjected
19.4 pts
~0.9 RP (offseason)
Teams: 501, 2423, 1735
Auto
-0.6 0%
Teleop
25.3 100%
Endgame
-3.9 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.5 · Blue 0.93
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score64.4pts
Blue projected score19.4pts
Red win probability64%
Event bonus sample62alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 18%, blue 16%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 45
- Score range
- 4–79
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
427Season APEX297.4
6Auto-0.6
48Teleop25.3
11.5Endgame-3.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 31 | 2 |
| teleop | 67 | 22 |
| endgame | 24 | 13 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 122 | 37 |
Result
Final score
122 – 37
Prediction correct · off by 37.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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