Final · Finals 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
219.7 – 231.47
46%54%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
77 – 253
Prediction correct · off by 82.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 660.8 ±9.9
Season APEX 108.3Event APEX 45.69Rank 20Record 1-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 130.74Rank 1Record 3-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 43.27Rank 6Record 2-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 606.6 ±8.2
Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 27.63Rank 17Record 1-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 111.16Rank 15Record 1-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 92.68Rank 2Record 3-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2342, 6328, 2877
81
/ 100 compatProjected
219.7 pts
~1.2 RP (offseason)
Teams: 2342, 6328, 2877
Auto
38.7 18%
Teleop
121.8 56%
Endgame
55.8 26%
Strengths
- · 6328 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 20%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5962, 1768, 4909
80
/ 100 compatProjected
231.5 pts
~1.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 5962, 1768, 4909
Auto
39.9 18%
Teleop
132.3 60%
Endgame
48.9 22%
Strengths
- · 1768 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 20%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.17 · Blue 1.32
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score219.7pts
Blue projected score231.5pts
Red win probability46%
Event bonus sample62alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 20%, blue 21%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -11.8
- Score range
- 200–251
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
660.8Season APEX606.6
38.7Auto39.9
121.8Teleop132.3
55.8Endgame48.9
16Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 46 |
| teleop | 54 | 136 |
| endgame | 2 | 71 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 77 | 253 |
Result
Final score
77 – 253
Prediction correct · off by 82.1 pts
Match videos
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