Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

236.61 – 173.95

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

246 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 29.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 302.8 ±11

753High Desert Droids

Season APEX 146.3Event APEX 110.22Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9613Lion's Byte

Season APEX 23.2Event APEX 20.99Rank 27Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3218Panther Robotics

Season APEX 133.3Event APEX 105.4Rank 5Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 300.1 ±11

2926Robo Sparks

Season APEX 120Event APEX 74.23Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10416Radical Raccoons

Season APEX 142.3Event APEX 74.04Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6845River Bots

Season APEX 37.8Event APEX 25.68Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 753, 9613, 3218

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 753, 9613, 3218

Auto

34.0 15%

Teleop

138.5 60%

Endgame

59.0 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2926, 10416, 6845

/ 100 compat

Projected

174 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2926, 10416, 6845

Auto

26.7 15%

Teleop

102.0 59%

Endgame

45.5 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score236.6pts

Blue projected score174pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 62.7
Score range: 141–270
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 469 vs event baseline 182.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

302.8Season APEX300.1

34Auto26.7

138.5Teleop102

59Endgame45.5

8Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	17
teleop	124	111
endgame	62	80
foul	0	15
total	246	223

Result

Final score

246 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 29.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.